If silver can break $14.61 area, the downtrend can be negated.

Eight years ago, silver reached $48 per ounce. COMEX changed the margin requirements, and others dumped thousands of paper contracts on the COMEX market to smash prices lower. They succeeded, as usual. Old news! As they say, “Wash, rinse and repeat.” Gold and silver prices fell hard since their 2011 highs, while central banks levitated the S&P 500 Index, most stocks, and bonds with massive infusions of cheap debt. Central banks also purchased stocks and bonds. Inexpensive debt, QE, and bond monetization were good for the DOW and S&P 500 stocks. Central banks are reluctant to change policies, but the world may have arrived at another “Peak Debt” moment similar to 2008. What are prospects for silver and gold in the next several years? What data backs up the prognosis?

Silver production at the world’s largest producer fell significantly in the first quarter of the year. Fresnillo PLC reported a decrease in silver production in Q1 2019 versus the same period last year, due to lower ore grades and reduced volumes of processed ore at its Fresnillo Mine. Furthermore, while silver production fell the most at its Fresnillo Mine, the company also experienced declines at its Saucito and San Julian Mines. Total silver production at Fresnillo PLC dropped by 15% in the first quarter compared to the same quarter in 2018.

Silver oversold down into a support area - video update.